Monday, October 06, 2008

Did Poor People Make the Banks do Bad Things?

Some of my wingnut conspecifics appear to have fallen for the GOP talking point that poor people caused the meltdown of the financial system. That's right. Poor people, whom the government encouraged or required banks to lend to, took down the whole system. They made those unsophisticated financiers raise their leverage ratios to unimaginable levels and develop exotic products free from regulation and from any sound banking practices. Those poor people mess everything up, and now we have to pay the piper.

It's hard for me to swallow it when people despise the poor and exalt the rich. I am suspicious of any explanation for a crisis that involves this type of reasoning. Let's be honest about the financial meltdown. Mortgages are only part of the problem, and subprime mortgages went to a lot of people who are by no means poor. It was a rational risk a few years ago to get into a house with financing that would become problematic a few years down the road, because you were going to flip that house for a profit or get more conventional financing when the equity went up to permit you to afford a conventional loan. Many people did this and succeeded. Others got left holding the bag when the housing market became depressed and they owed more than the house was worth and couldn't refinance. It was a bummer for them but hardly indicative of moral decadence.

Now it's easier to get a kidney than a mortgage, and the housing market is depressed even more by that. The depression of the housing market erased most people's primary base of wealth, so they had to retrench and stop buying things. This caused the economy overall to slow down. This caused businesses to be strapped and to be unable to pay for supplies and to pay down their credit lines on time. This made corporate bonds less secure. Meanwhile, the big banks were leveraged out the wazoo and circulating overvalued and risky credit default swaps to the tune of $62 trillion. Poor people didn't cause this mess. Smart, rich people did.

And it wasn't accounting rules that brought everything down. Blaming mark to market for the crisis is like blaming your thermometer when it shows that you have a fever.

Making things worse is that the big banks are public companies whose stock price is not just the market's gauge of performance. It's a signal to everyone else that the bank might not be trustworthy. When a bank loses the confidence of other banks, it's game over. The banks can't trust each other, so there's a credit crunch. Before you know it, there's a credit freeze. You can't get a car loan, the dealer can't finance his inventory, the car maker isn't selling cars, the vendors and employees of the car maker don't sell as much, none of these businesses can finance anything after a while. Folks get laid off in droves.

I think I'll invest in the ink they use to print money. And in wheelbarrows. People will need them to carry their currency.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

I don't see how faulting those who are responsible for compromising lending standards to people who are not creditworthy is equivalent to blaming the poor.

Vache Folle said...

D, saul,

I didn't intend to suggest that. There's just no evidence that programs for investing in the inner cities or to help the poor had any significant impact on the financial meltdown. That's the narrative the right will push, and it's factually wrong and, in my religion, morally wrong to advance it.

jdgalt said...

You are attacking a straw man. No one has ever said that the poor caused the banking crisis.

The Republican view, which I share, is that federal banking regulators forced all banks to start offering mortgages to non-creditworthy customers -- meaning people who simply don't meet the standards of income, job longevity, and credit history that all banks used for loan decisions until about 1970 -- under threat of being prosecuted for racism and "redlining" and put out of business.

That is a fact -- it happened. And it is racism -- not on the part of banks, but on the part of regulators.

Those regulators need to be put in jail for extortion. Today.